The BC COVID-19 Modelling Group works on rapid response modelling of the COVID-19 pandemic, with a special focus on British Columbia and Canada.

The interdisciplinary Group was convened by Caroline Colijn (SFU) and Dan Coombs (UBC) with support from the Pacific Institute for the Mathematical Sciences.

Recent Posts

COVID Model Projections - June 2, 2021

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their fourth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (June 2, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Eric Cytrynbaum walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.

Eric Cytrynbaum, Sarah "Sally" Otto, Dean Karlen, Caroline Colijn, Jens von Bergmann, Rob James, James Colliander, Daniel J. McDonald, Paul Tupper, Dan Coombs, Elisha Are, Bryn Wiley

2021-06-02 1 min read reports

COVID Model Projections - May 14, 2021

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their third report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (May 14, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Eric Cytrynbaum walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.

Eric Cytrynbaum, Sarah "Sally" Otto, Dean Karlen, Caroline Colijn, Jens von Bergmann, Rob James, James Colliander, Daniel J. McDonald, Paul Tupper, Dan Coombs, Elisha Are, Bryn Wiley

2021-05-14 1 min read reports

COVID Model Projections - April 29, 2021

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their second report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 29, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Sally Otto walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.

Sarah "Sally" Otto, Dean Karlen, Caroline Colijn, Jens von Bergmann, Rob James, James Colliander, Eric Cytrynbaum, Daniel J. McDonald, Paul Tupper, Dan Coombs, Elisha Are

2021-04-30 1 min read reports

COVID Model Projections - April 29, 2021

After Vaccination

Please see our full report for more details and simulation results. The only way things can return to normal in BC is if a large portion of our population obtains immunity to the virus, either through infection or through vaccination. Currently a small fraction of British Columbians are immune to COVID-19: approximately 1 in 5 of us have received at least one dose of vaccine, and a much smaller number have had the infection.

Paul Tupper, Caroline Colijn

2021-04-17 9 min read

COVID Model Projections - April 14, 2021

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their first report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 14, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Sally Otto walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.