reports

COVID Model Projections - May 18, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [twenty-second report](/post/2022-05-18-report/COVID19group-2022-05-18.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (May 18th, 2022). This report focuses on the ongoing Omicron BA.2 wave, which appears to have peaked in BC and elsewhere in Canada, and examines data for new variants.

COVID Model Projections - April 27, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [twenty-first report](/post/2022-04-27-report/COVID19group-2022-04-27.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 27th, 2022). This report focuses on the ongoing Omicron BA.2 wave and addresses the question of when it will peak and how big its impact will be.

COVID Model Projections - April 6, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [twentieth report](/post/2022-04-06-report/COVID19group-2022-04-06.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (April 6th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, BA.2, which is rising rapidly in frequency and is now causing an uptick in cases and hospitalizations, beginning a second Omicron wave in BC.

COVID Model Projections - March 17, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [nineteenth report](/post/2022-03-17-report/COVID19group-2022-03-17.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (March 17th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, BA.2, which is rising rapidly in frequency and now accounts for ~50% of infections in Canada. Nevertheless, numbers of BA.2 are roughly steady at the moment.

COVID Model Projections - February 17, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [eighteenth report](/post/2022-02-17-report/COVID19group-2022-02-17.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (February 17th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated. UPDATED: Information about the spread of BA.2 in Alberta has been removed because samples were first typed by PCR and BA.2 preferentially sequenced (causing publicly available data to overestimate the current frequency of BA.2).

COVID Model Projections - February 4, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [seventeenth report](/post/2022-02-04-report/COVID19group-2022-02-04.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (February 4th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.

COVID Model Projections - January 19, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [sixteenth report](/post/2022-01-19-report/COVID19group-2022-01-19.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (January 19th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated. Erratum: Slide #17 was corrected (January 25th), because the wrong graph was originally included on the right for Scenario #2 (with a mean hospital stay of 12 days rather than 6 days, as stated); the conclusions remain unaffected.

COVID Model Projections - January 6, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [fifteenth report](/post/2022-01-06-report/COVID19group-2022-01-06.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (January 6th, 2022). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.

COVID Model Projections - December 22, 2021

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [fourteenth report](/post/2021-12-22-report/COVID19group-2021-12-22.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (December 22nd, 2021). This report focuses on the Omicron variant, which is spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.

COVID Model Projections - December 8, 2021

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their [thirteenth report](/post/2021-12-08-report/slides-2021-12-08.pdf) on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (December 8, 2021). This report focuses on the Omicron variant which poses a substantial risk for spreading rapidly in Canada, even among those fully vaccinated.