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COVID Model Projections - October 7, 2021
The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their tenth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (October 7, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Eric Cytrynbaum walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.
COVID Model Projections - September 1, 2021
The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their ninth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (September 1, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Eric Cytrynbaum walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.
COVID Model Projections - August 18, 2021
The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their eighth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (August 18, 2021). For the past 5 weeks, infections throughout BC have been growing exponentially. This report shows that the growth in cases has been steady and it is urgent to reduce transmission and expand vaccination coverage to avoid overwhelming BC’s medical system. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Eric Cytrynbaum gives a brief presentation highlighting the main points contained in the report.
An Online Tool to estimate the Vaccination Status of a Group
Vaccination rates are changing globally, making it challenging for organizers to predict vaccination levels for group meetings being planned. We have created a browser app to estimate the numbers of unvaccinated, partially vaccinated, and fully vaccinated people in a group at a future date, based on data from around the world on vaccination rates by location and age group. While most accurate over short time frames, this app provides event organizers a clearer picture of the susceptibility of their participants to COVID-19.
COVID-19 projections for Alberta's 4th wave
On August 13th the Government of Alberta announced that it would keep in place current levels of COVID-19 restrictions. Earlier, there had been plans to lift some control measures on August 16th, with planned changes including removing mask mandates, changes to COVID-19 testing and contact tracing, and removing mandatory isolation for those testing positive. The argument had been that the current level of vaccination was sufficient and Alberta could now make the transition to managing COVID-19 as an endemic disease. However, current measures will now remain in place. Increases in ICU numbers above what was expected, and the US experience with COVID-19 in children, were given as reasons for pausing the move to the next phase until September 27. Meanwhile, vaccination continues in Alberta, with nearly 10,000 doses being administered per day.
COVID Model Projections - July 28, 2021
The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their seventh report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (July 28, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Eric Cytrynbaum walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.
COVID Model Projections - July 7, 2021
The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their sixth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (July 7, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Eric Cytrynbaum walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.
COVID Model Projections - June 16, 2021
The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their fifth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (June 16, 2021), summarizing the state of COVID-19 in the province and modelling projections using the different approaches taken by various team members. In the video accompanying this report, Dr. Eric Cytrynbaum walks you through these results and highlights the take home messages.