COVID Model Projections - October 5, 2022

The BC COVID-19 Modelling team issued their twenty-fifth report on the status of COVID-19 in British Columbia (October 5th, 2022). The BA.5-driven Omicron wave persists with high rates of infection. The prolonged nature of the BA.5 wave is consistent with waning of immunity from infections and vaccinations early in the year. Future projections predict a rise in cases, even without new variants that are better able to evade immunity. Underreporting of cases is extremely high, with ~100-fold more infections currently than reported cases.

Sarah "Sally" Otto
Sarah "Sally" Otto
Canada Research Chair in Theoretical and Experimental Evolution, UBC
Eric Cytrynbaum
Eric Cytrynbaum
Associate Professor of Mathematics, University of British Columbia
Dean Karlen
Dean Karlen
R.M Pearce Professor of Physics, University of Victoria and TRIUMF
Jens von Bergmann
Jens von Bergmann
Engineer at MountainMath Software
Caroline Colijn
Caroline Colijn
Canada 150 Chair, SFU
Rob James
Rob James
evidently.ca
Ailene MacPherson
Ailene MacPherson
Assistant Professor
James Colliander
James Colliander
Professor of Mathematics, University of British Columbia
Daniel J. McDonald
Daniel J. McDonald
Associate Professor of Statistics, University of British Columbia
Dan Coombs
Dan Coombs
Professor, UBC
Elisha Are
Elisha Are
Postdoctoral Fellow in Mathematics, Simon Fraser University